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 大家不知是否也注意到,在美国有关中国的各类报道最近突然急剧增加. 这意味着什么... |
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大家不知是否也注意到,在美国有关中国的各类报道最近突然急剧增加. 这意味着什么... -- infoex - (295 Byte) 2005-4-12 周二, 22:33 (1945 reads) |
ceo/cfo
[博客]
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头衔: 海归中将
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加入时间: 2004/11/05
文章: 12941
海归分: 491638
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作者：ceo/cfo 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
THE AFTERNOON REPORT (IN FULL)
Gaping Gap
By MARK GONGLOFF
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL ONLINE
The U.S. trade gap with the world in February was the biggest in
history and will likely keep growing. Few economists believe this situation
can persist forever; the only question is how painful the correction
will be.
America imported $161.5 billion in goods and services in the month, up
about 1.6% from January, while exports were nearly flat at $100.5
billion. The resulting $61 billion deficit was wider than economists
expected, the widest in history. A bump in drug imports and cheaply made
Chinese clothing helped, but the big story was, and will continue to be,
oil. Pricey crude added $1.4 billion to imports -- and that was before the
recent gush of oil prices to record highs. "Oil prices jumped sharply
in March, so the trade deficit will get even bigger next month," Steven
Wood, chief economist at Insight Economics, said in a note.
Since imports count against a country's net economic output, many
economists today trimmed forecasts for first-quarter U.S. gross domestic
product growth. The bigger question, though, is what longer-term havoc
massive deficits are wreaking.
Some observers say the present situation, with the U.S. borrowing about
$2 billion a day to finance its profligate lifestyle, can persist a
good, long time. Economic opportunities in other developed economies are
as exciting as watching paint dry, and U.S. markets are the safest and
most diverse in the world, they argue. Why wouldn't foreign investors
want to put their money there? Developing economies, which have been
buying dollars to feed their own much more robust growth, will eventually
want to let their currencies rise -- ahem, China -- but they won't want
to risk a global train wreck by pulling out of U.S. markets all at
once, the argument goes.
Others, though, warn that real trouble could be in store, that these
imbalances aren't usually settled tidily. "Altogether the circumstances
seem to me as dangerous and intractable as any I can remember, and I can
remember quite a lot," former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker
wrote in a Washington Post editorial on Sunday. "I don't know whether
change will come with a bang or a whimper, whether sooner or later. But as
things stand, it is more likely than not that it will be financial
crisis rather than policy foresight that will force the change."
作者：ceo/cfo 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
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